Is a bipartisan immigration deal at hand? It's close. Last week, the AFL-CIO and the Chamber of Commerce worked out a guest-worker compromise that allows in foreign workers on a sliding scale of 20,000 to 200,000, depending on the strength of the economy.
Nice deal. As are the other elements of the Senate's bipartisan Gang of Eight plan - expansion of H-1B visas for skilled immigrants, serious tracking of visa overstayers and, most important, a universal E-Verify system that would make it very risky for any employer to hire an illegal immigrant.
But there's a rub. It's the perennial rub. Are Democrats serious about border enforcement? It's supposed to be the trigger that would allow illegal immigrants to start on the path to citizenship.
Why is a trigger necessary? To prevent a repeat of the 1986 fiasco where amnesty was granted and border enforcement never came - giving us today's 11 million living in the shadows. Yet just a week ago, Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano, referring to border enforcement, averred that "relying on one thing as a so-called trigger is not the way to go." Regarding legalization, "there needs to be certainty." But not for border security?
And she's in charge of securing that border. Now listen to President Obama: "Given the size of the border, it's never going to be 110 percent perfect. What we can do is to continue to improve it."
Who's asking for 110 percent enforcement? And the need is for something a lot more than just improvement. The objective is to reduce a river to a trickle. It's doable. The two sections with triple fencing outside San Diego have cut infiltration by 92 percent.
The Gang of Eight enforcement trigger is not ideal. The 11 million get near-instant legalization - on the day, perhaps six to nine months after the bill is signed, when Homeland Security submits a plan (with the required funding) to achieve within a decade 90 percent apprehension and 100 percent real-time surveillance.
This plan triggers "probationary" legalization, which in reality is permanent, because once the 11 million register, it is inconceivable their status would be revoked.
Let's be clear. A mere DHS enforcement plan is a very weak trigger. I would prefer legalization to occur later, once the plan is actually carried out and some independent body certifies that the border is essentially closed.
But that simply will not happen. Democrats control the Senate and the White House, and they will only agree to a weaker trigger. Which is? Legalization first - i.e., living here openly without fear of deportation but nothing more until the border is controlled. Until then, no one even starts on the path to citizenship.
So why is Obama undermining even that compromise, asserting that "this earned pathway to citizenship" must not be "put off further and further," that it must be "certain," not contingent on verifiable benchmarks of border closure?
Are he and Napolitano signaling to their hard-core open-border constituency that they will try to sabotage passage of any law that has a serious enforcement trigger, or that they will try to sabotage enforcement if a strict law is nonetheless enacted?
Why? Isn't border control an elementary principle of sovereignty? What country deliberately forfeits the right to decide who gets to join its communal life?
Why deliberately create the next immigration crisis? Is it because you calculate that this wave and the next are destined to be partisans of your political party?
Perhaps Obama intends this to be a poison pill: (1) Show unmistakable bad faith on enforcement. (2) Undermine the Gang of Eight's already weak border-control "trigger." (3) And thus force Republicans to defeat this "immigration reform" - as newly defined and defanged of enforcement.
Obama seems to want an issue, not a solution - a potent political issue for Democrats to demagogue in 2014 and 2016 and forever.
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